Been fighting the mythic crime decline all over the place. The truth is, we don't really know officially if crime is up or down. If you watch the news or drive in any major city, you probably think crime is up. In more rural places, you might not notice any year-over-year change.
Biden, unwisely in my opinion, transitioned from UCR (used since 1930) to NIBRS in 2021. Should have continued to use UCR while agencies figured how to switch, but they did it cold turkey. Consequently, most agencies ceased reporting. So our eyes, lived experience, and common sense is the only way to guage the crime level.
Eventually, they'll have enough NCVS data to triangulate the missing period. But academic reports like this lag by years. My guess, in 2025 (if Trump succeeds), the liberal media will conclude crime is up and lay it all on Rs.
Been fighting the mythic crime decline all over the place. The truth is, we don't really know officially if crime is up or down. If you watch the news or drive in any major city, you probably think crime is up. In more rural places, you might not notice any year-over-year change.
Biden, unwisely in my opinion, transitioned from UCR (used since 1930) to NIBRS in 2021. Should have continued to use UCR while agencies figured how to switch, but they did it cold turkey. Consequently, most agencies ceased reporting. So our eyes, lived experience, and common sense is the only way to guage the crime level.
Eventually, they'll have enough NCVS data to triangulate the missing period. But academic reports like this lag by years. My guess, in 2025 (if Trump succeeds), the liberal media will conclude crime is up and lay it all on Rs.
This is EXCELLENT reporting. Thank you for distilling this important topic.